Tropical Storm Forecast Florida: Seasonal Outlook

As of July 18, 2025, Invest 93L is no longer expected to develop into a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Dexter. The system has tracked across the Gulf of Mexico and is now impacting the central Gulf Coast—particularly Louisiana and Mississippi—with heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding. While the National Hurricane Center (NHC) previously assigned a 40% chance of development, the storm’s structure remained too disorganized to intensify further.

Although Florida avoided a direct impact from this system, parts of the Panhandle and interior regions are still experiencing bands of tropical moisture, contributing to scattered thunderstorms and elevated rain totals.

Early Activity in the 2025 Hurricane Season

The 2025 hurricane season remains unusually active, with three named storms—Andrea, Barry, and Chantal—forming before mid-July. Forecasts from NOAA continue to indicate an above-average season, driven by:

  • 13 to 19 named storms
  • 6 to 10 hurricanes
  • 2 to 5 major hurricanes

Contributing factors include warmer-than-average Atlantic sea surface temperatures and low wind shear, creating ideal conditions for development.

Updated Outlook on Invest 93L

Though Invest 93L has weakened, its remnants continue to generate widespread rainfall. The heaviest precipitation is focused across Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, with isolated flash flooding possible in urban or low-lying areas. Florida’s Gulf Coast and interior regions may see occasional downpours and storm-related disruptions through the weekend.

Key weather impacts include:

  • Heavy rain and possible flooding, particularly in the Florida Panhandle
  • Gusty but non-severe winds
  • Rip current risks and hazardous marine conditions

Some forecast models suggest lingering tropical moisture may loop back into the eastern Gulf next week, potentially bringing another round of rainfall to Florida.

Be Prepared for What’s Next

While Invest 93L is no longer a direct tropical threat, it underscores how quickly Gulf systems can bring disruptive weather—even without forming into named storms. Flash flood watches remain in effect for areas along the Gulf Coast, and residents are encouraged to:

  • Monitor updates from the National Hurricane Center
  • Stay alert to local weather alerts and advisories
  • Prepare homes and outdoor spaces for repeated stormy conditions

Looking Ahead: Peak Season Approaching

With the tropical storm forecast Florida residents are watching closely, July’s early activity signals that hurricane season is ramping up. The peak period between August and October often delivers the most severe storms. Armor Screen recommends using this time to:

  • Conduct screen enclosure inspections
  • Reinforce aging or weather-worn screens
  • Review your family’s emergency prep plan

Stay Informed

For up-to-date storm information, visit:

For tips on securing your home and preparing for future storms, visit Armor Screen’s hurricane preparation page.